Hyperliquid($HYPE)
Bearish
"Iām re-evaluating my $HYPE positions.
Iāve been a big supporter of Hyperliquid for a while, but itās time to reassess.
There are two main concerns:
1. Market share
Hyperliquidās dominance peaked in May. Since then,
@Lighter_xyz
and others have been eating into its territory.
Perp traders are chasing newer platforms with shinier features and better upside potential from airdrop and incentives
Iāve used Lighter for scalp trading. Itās cheaper (0% fee for lower latency) and faster. For that use case, Iād pick Lighter over Hyperliquid as scalp trader.
2. Team unlock
Starting Nov 29 (50 days from now), the team allocation starts unlocking:
216.58K HYPE daily (~$10M/day).
We canāt predict if Jeff and the team will sell, but after years of building, it wouldnāt be irrational to realize some gains.
Even if they donāt, new supply always changes sentiment and itās worth watching closely. At the end of the day, incentives matter.
Still, this doesnāt mean $HYPE is finished. It could easily have another leg up, but from a positioning view, the risk/reward is shifting.
Other plays offer cleaner setups with less capital and fewer uncontrollable factors.
Happy to hear more catalysts that could invalidate my concerns, such as HIP-3 or HIP-4."